What is the Edges Power Index?

The Edges Power Index (EPI) is a proprietary 0-100 score that ranks all 48 World Cup 2026 teams on a single comparable scale. It blends three signals: 50% market strength (log-inverse of the SA-licensed outright price), 30% bracket-depth proxy (a saturating curve that rewards top-tier teams disproportionately), and 20% form (inverse of FIFA world ranking). Higher EPI = stronger team. France currently leads at 95.0; Brazil is second at 93.9. The full ranked field is on the page above.

Why is your power index different from FIFA rankings or bookmaker odds alone?

FIFA rankings update slowly and weight recent fixtures heavily — they don't fully reflect tournament-level expectations. Bookmaker outright prices reflect tournament expectations but flatten in the long tail (every team below 100/1 looks similar). The Edges Power Index combines both signals plus a bracket-depth saturating curve, so a team like Brazil (price 5.5, rank 6) scores meaningfully higher than a team like Mexico (price 41, rank 15) even though their FIFA ranks are within 10 of each other.

How does Bafana Bafana score on the Edges Power Index?

Bafana Bafana rank 48/48 on the EPI at 0.0. South Africa's outright price (c.1001) drags the market-strength component low, and the FIFA rank (95) keeps the form component middling — but Bafana's grouped-stage bracket-depth proxy is non-zero given the new 48-team format saves four 3rd-placed sides. The deeper qualitative read on SA's path lives on /groups/a/ and /teams/za/.

How often is the Power Index updated?

On every site build. During the tournament window (11 June – 19 July 2026) Edges rebuilds the site daily to refresh outright prices, which auto-updates the EPI. Movement-arrow indicators (↑/↓/↔ vs the prior week) populate as the second week's data lands. Subscribe to the JSON feed at /feed/picks.json for machine-readable downstream consumption.

edges power index · proprietary · all 48 teams

The ranking that doesn't lie.

A 0–100 score combining market strength, bracket depth and FIFA form. Updated every build.

top of the index

Brazil 93.9 EPI

Strength100
Depth83
Form95

France 95.0 EPI

Strength100
Depth83
Form100

Argentina 93.3 EPI

Strength98
Depth82
Form98

bafana bafana · power index

#48of 48 0.0EPI score 95.0behind leader

Read the SA path →

all 48 teams · ranked

The full Power Index.

01 France Grp I 95.0
02 Brazil Grp C 93.9
03 Argentina Grp J 93.3
04 Spain Grp H 90.2
05 England Grp L 87.8
06 Germany Grp E 82.2
07 Portugal Grp K 80.3
08 Netherlands Grp F 72.7
09 Belgium Grp G 70.3
10 Croatia Grp L 56.2
11 Colombia Grp K 56.0
12 Mexico Grp A 55.4
13 Uruguay Grp H 54.9
14 Morocco Grp C 52.6
15 United States Grp D 50.9
16 Senegal Grp I 43.6
17 Japan Grp F 42.6
18 Türkiye Grp D 41.7
19 Austria Grp J 41.3
20 Norway Grp I 39.8
21 Switzerland Grp B 39.2
22 Sweden Grp F 35.4
23 Ecuador Grp E 33.7
24 South Korea Grp A 33.3
25 Canada Grp B 32.2
26 Australia Grp D 29.9
27 Iran Grp G 29.3
28 Algeria Grp J 27.6
29 Egypt Grp G 27.3
30 Côte d'Ivoire Grp E 26.3
31 Czechia Grp A 25.4
32 Scotland Grp C 24.4
33 DR Congo Grp K 23.7
34 Paraguay Grp D 18.1
35 Tunisia Grp F 17.5
36 Uzbekistan Grp K 16.4
37 Panama Grp L 16.0
38 Qatar Grp B 15.2
39 Saudi Arabia Grp H 13.9
40 Bosnia & Herzegovina Grp B 13.0
41 Ghana Grp L 11.1
42 Iraq Grp I 10.8
43 Jordan Grp J 6.8
44 Cape Verde Grp H 5.5
45 Curaçao Grp E 2.8
46 Haiti Grp C 2.6
47 New Zealand Grp G 2.1
48 South Africa Grp A 0.0

Method.

EPI = 0.50 × Market Strength + 0.30 × Bracket Depth + 0.20 × Form, each scaled 0–100. Market Strength is the log-inverse of the SA-licensed outright price (so the gap between a 5.5-priced favourite and a 1001-priced longshot reads sensibly). Bracket Depth is 100 × exp(-price / 30) — a saturating curve that rewards top-tier teams compounding through the bracket disproportionately. Form is the inverse of FIFA world ranking, normalised. The three weights sum to 1.00. Higher EPI = stronger team.

Frequently asked.

What is the Edges Power Index?: The Edges Power Index (EPI) is a proprietary 0-100 score that ranks all 48 World Cup 2026 teams on a single comparable scale. It blends three signals: 50% market strength (log-inverse of the SA-licensed outright price), 30% bracket-depth proxy (a saturating curve that rewards top-tier teams disproportionately), and 20% form (inverse of FIFA world ranking). Higher EPI = stronger team. France currently leads at 95.0; Brazil is second at 93.9. The full ranked field is on the page above.
Why is your power index different from FIFA rankings or bookmaker odds alone?: FIFA rankings update slowly and weight recent fixtures heavily — they don't fully reflect tournament-level expectations. Bookmaker outright prices reflect tournament expectations but flatten in the long tail (every team below 100/1 looks similar). The Edges Power Index combines both signals plus a bracket-depth saturating curve, so a team like Brazil (price 5.5, rank 6) scores meaningfully higher than a team like Mexico (price 41, rank 15) even though their FIFA ranks are within 10 of each other.
How does Bafana Bafana score on the Edges Power Index?: Bafana Bafana rank 48/48 on the EPI at 0.0. South Africa's outright price (c.1001) drags the market-strength component low, and the FIFA rank (95) keeps the form component middling — but Bafana's grouped-stage bracket-depth proxy is non-zero given the new 48-team format saves four 3rd-placed sides. The deeper qualitative read on SA's path lives on /groups/a/ and /teams/za/.
How often is the Power Index updated?: On every site build. During the tournament window (11 June – 19 July 2026) Edges rebuilds the site daily to refresh outright prices, which auto-updates the EPI. Movement-arrow indicators (↑/↓/↔ vs the prior week) populate as the second week's data lands. Subscribe to the JSON feed at /feed/picks.json for machine-readable downstream consumption.